Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-19 0.018379 0.019824 0.021328 0.023011 0.024843 0.026779 0.028980
2025-10-26 0.015892 0.017955 0.020214 0.022876 0.025936 0.029348 0.033453
2025-11-02 0.014292 0.016709 0.019459 0.022831 0.026865 0.031556 0.037448
2025-11-09 0.012917 0.015520 0.018573 0.022434 0.027211 0.032956 0.040434
2025-11-16 0.011817 0.014530 0.017795 0.022037 0.027436 0.034123 0.043102
2025-11-23 0.011049 0.013869 0.017341 0.021963 0.027998 0.035674 0.046279
2025-11-30 0.010350 0.013233 0.016858 0.021787 0.028375 0.036961 0.049135
2025-12-07 0.009765 0.012698 0.016455 0.021668 0.028789 0.038279 0.052067
2025-12-14 0.009224 0.012181 0.016037 0.021487 0.029081 0.039419 0.054782
2025-12-21 0.008824 0.011827 0.015808 0.021535 0.029670 0.040971 0.058141
2025-12-28 0.008405 0.011421 0.015480 0.021417 0.030002 0.042158 0.061015
2026-01-04 0.008055 0.011088 0.015232 0.021389 0.030448 0.043511 0.064188
2026-01-11 0.007713 0.010763 0.014996 0.021391 0.030974 0.045067 0.067858
2026-01-18 0.007379 0.010437 0.014742 0.021355 0.031444 0.046567 0.071552
2026-01-25 0.007076 0.010135 0.014507 0.021328 0.031915 0.048083 0.075353
2026-02-01 0.006701 0.009710 0.014067 0.020963 0.031836 0.048728 0.077767
2026-02-08 0.006355 0.009310 0.013643 0.020595 0.031724 0.049301 0.080077
2026-02-15 0.006112 0.009053 0.013421 0.020526 0.032077 0.050627 0.083723
2026-02-22 0.005861 0.008774 0.013150 0.020363 0.032262 0.051677 0.086947
2026-03-01 0.005641 0.008530 0.012922 0.020253 0.032523 0.052857 0.090460
2026-03-08 0.005421 0.008277 0.012667 0.020085 0.032671 0.053848 0.093683
2026-03-15 0.005262 0.008113 0.012546 0.020129 0.033177 0.055470 0.098149
2026-03-22 0.005079 0.007903 0.012340 0.020019 0.033409 0.056619 0.101800